I hear the discouragement in their voices. Janice McGeachin’s political base believes her chance to overthrow Idaho Governor Brad Little is slipping away from her. Legacy media reports weekly on what they call campaign missteps on his part. I myself quoted some of them. Little is far more cautious and may maintain what is known as a Rose Garden strategy in presidential politics. In other words, cut ribbons, greet visiting students, and talk about the strength of the state’s economy.
The latest poll someone shared with me suggests he could win a majority. He won in 2018 with a plurality of just over a third of GOP primary voters. A three-way race at the time though. There may be reasons not to count McGeachin.
She beat the odds before
She was considered the fifth choice by party regulars when she ran in a five-way primary for lieutenant governor four years ago. She had left the legislature long before and had been forgotten by many voters. His opponents included three sitting lawmakers and the state’s Republican Party chairman. She was the upset winner in a large field.
In 2022, his party’s gubernatorial primary is nearly twice as big, with a poll showing Little in the lead and also showing many undecided voters.
Republicans don’t like the media treatment of conservatives
While the news you hear about the Lieutenant Governor is often bad, it is also dripping with liberal and elitist condescension. Conservatives don’t like liberal media. They don’t trust what they see, hear and read. Right-wing voters regard most journalists as worms, garden slugs or a bad rash. In the eyes of her base, she is abused by a cabal of morally bankrupt social degenerates. I don’t invent anything. I get daily feedback from constituents.
Some events trump others
I am not engaging in wishful thinking. Right now, it looks like the governor is headed for another term. Primary is May 17and. She still has one card in reserve. President Trump can still run and campaign with her. You don’t need to rent the Ford Center. Make quick stops at airport rallies. Idaho Falls, Pocatello, Twin Falls, Boise and Coeur d’Alene. The cameras come out and a cheering crowd and she’s back in the game.
Ed Humphreys is hosting a clinic with his campaign. People see him taking votes from McGeachin, but what if he breaks, he poaches some of Little’s support. Oh, and don’t rule out Ed on Primary day.
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